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【估计下票房】

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1#
发表于 2007-7-2 08:51:30 | 只看该作者 回帖奖励 |倒序浏览 |阅读模式
大家猜一下这次变形金刚的全球票房能达到多少?
2#
发表于 2007-7-2 08:56:40 | 只看该作者
全球票房7亿美元以上~~~(保守估计)

[ Last edited by Ass on 2007-7-2 at 08:58 ]
3#
发表于 2007-7-2 09:01:11 | 只看该作者
如果乐观的话,绝对有突破10亿美元的可能~~~
4#
发表于 2007-7-2 09:21:24 | 只看该作者
美本土2~5亿,海外4-9亿,按这个档期的惯例看,这个差不多....
5#
发表于 2007-7-2 10:02:02 | 只看该作者
不太乐观楼上的各位
根据身边人的普编态度,男性中有1/3的人认为失去了原来小时候的感觉,角色差距大。女性中5/6以上的人认为是两堆废铁在打,太生硬。
受欢迎度明显不如加勒比海盗3。
所以还是谨慎些
6#
发表于 2007-7-2 10:34:50 | 只看该作者
Originally posted by 擎天柱 at 2007-7-2 09:21:
美本土2~5亿,海外4-9亿,按这个档期的惯例看,这个差不多....





2-5亿??这也差太多了吧,
你把可能性全包了
2亿的话,很失败
3亿的话,大家都算满意
4亿的话,片商笑不动了
5亿...,历史纪录了,虽然还是排不到第一, ,但这就破了SW的记录, 估计没这可能

我猜3亿5千W
7#
发表于 2007-7-2 10:39:54 | 只看该作者
我也估计三亿左右。
8#
发表于 2007-7-2 10:58:17 | 只看该作者
全球来看我估计4亿以上没问题,但5亿很难说。
9#
发表于 2007-7-2 11:10:25 | 只看该作者
我猜,怎么说10亿美圆可定能拿下的!再怎么说全球有那么多的FANS存在,拍得再怎么烂也得进影院看一回吧?
10#
发表于 2007-7-2 15:00:05 | 只看该作者
TF的粉丝没SW多,也未必比超人蝙蝠侠的粉丝多,所以么~~~

冷静些 现实些
11#
发表于 2007-7-2 15:33:48 | 只看该作者
Originally posted by oracle at 2007-7-2 15:00:
TF的粉丝没SW多,也未必比超人蝙蝠侠的粉丝多,所以么~~~

冷静些 现实些


公众片不是靠粉丝来保障票房的,粉丝永远是少数人群。票房是否看就看宣传炒作的策略以及口碑,例如我就不是蜘蛛侠和金刚的粉丝,但我还是去电影院看了,因为身边的人都在谈论都在吹捧,所以看看变形金刚首映后大众的观感口碑以及炒作得怎样,这个很重要,当初去看一部电影就是因为一群同事看完都说爽,而且成为主要话题之一,某杂志还说不看《金刚》就不是人之类的话,搞不去看都不好意思了。
12#
发表于 2007-7-2 16:25:28 | 只看该作者
楼上的说的有道理

有几个人是张艺谋的粉丝?

鹰熊
石棉卖夫
满城尽是大馒头

还不是被挤到电影院爆炸?

还有 无聊 野宴 之类的片子也是
13#
发表于 2007-7-2 16:34:38 | 只看该作者
Originally posted by 蓝色擎天柱 at 2007-7-2 16:25:
楼上的说的有道理

有几个人是张艺谋的粉丝?

鹰熊
石棉卖夫
满城尽是大馒头

还不是被挤到电影院爆炸?

还有 无聊 野宴 之类的片子也是


...蓝色~~~能不能写的正确点,都是谐音
14#
发表于 2007-7-2 16:38:23 | 只看该作者
8 亿~~! 床垫
15#
发表于 2007-7-2 16:57:25 | 只看该作者
综艺杂志:上周是《绿怪3》在海外52个电影市场6489个放映场次里拿下了6960万美圆,成为上周海外票房的冠军。《变形金刚》在海外10个电影市场2261个放映场次里拿下了3470万美圆,成为亚军。在韩国,《变形金刚》是韩国历史上首映票房第四高的电影,拿下了1240万,在新加坡,则是历史上首映4天收成最好的电影,拿下170万美圆。在上映该片的十个国家和地区,《变形金刚》都是领头羊,包括澳大利亚670万,意大利360万,中国台湾300万,菲律宾210万。在其中八个地区,它都超过了之前的〈世界大战〉。下周末,《变形金刚》将在更多国家上映,包括俄罗斯、西班牙和斯堪的纳维亚等





'Shrek' tops overseas box office
'Transformers' int'l release brings in $34.7 mil
By DAVE MCNARY
'Shrek the Third' was the weekend's top performer in a robust foreign box office.

The ugly ogre's sitting pretty overseas as "Shrek the Third" dominated a robust weekend at the foreign box office with $69.6 million at 6,489 playdates in 52 markets.

But there was plenty of international green for tentpoles as "Transformers" debuted ahead of its U.S. launch with a stellar $34.7 million at 2,261 in 10 territories and "Live Free or Die Hard" shot down a solid $30.7 million at 3,583 in day and date openings in 35 markets.

And a trio of holdovers -- "Fantastic Four: Rise of the Silver Surfer," "Ocean's Thirteen" and "Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End" -- impressed with each grossing at least $14 million.

With the top six pics combining for $179 million, the frame dwarfed the year-ago weekend when "Superman Returns" led with $20 million amid a chill in moviegoing due to soccer's World Cup. And it highlighted the strong performance so far this year of Hollywood films in foreign markets, well above 2006's record-setting pace.

The tentpoles are mostly meeting studio expectations that each sequel can match its previous iteration, underlining the strategy of focusing on easily recognized franchises that can perform throughout the world. The third "Pirates of the Caribbean" became only the seventh pic to cross the $600 million mark in international grosses and trails the final "Pirates 2" foreign cume by only $33 million after six weeks; "Shrek the Third" has already grossed $259 million overseas, more than halfway to matching "Shrek 2."

Paramount's "Shrek the Third" grabbed an eye-popping $31 million at 537 in its U.K. launch, including $12.7 million in previews in an indication that Brits were undeterred by the latest wave of terror threats. Minus previews, the opening came in 5% ahead of "Shrek 2," which went on to gross $88 million in Blighty.

French patrons stayed supportive in the third frame as Shrek declined only 29% to $5.3 million for a $29.2 million cume while Spanish biz remained beefy with a 37% fall to $4.8 million. And the ogre turned monstrous in Poland, smashing the launch record with $4.1 million at 88, and set the second-highest opening mark in South Africa with $921,000.

"Shrek the Third" opened more moderately in Japan -- where American animated pics have a mixed record -- with $2.8 million at 542, trailing the launch of "Live Free or Die Hard" and the sixth frame of "Pirates 3." Still, that was 42% ahead of "Shrek 2," which went on to gross $22 million in Japan.

Paramount also saw stalwart numbers from "Transformers," which logged the top per-location average with $15,351, as the disrib opted for playing into local holidays plus distancing itself from Warner's mid-July launch of "Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix." South Korea sparked to "Transformers" in the fourth biggest launch ever with $12.4 million at 549 while the Michael Bay pic posted the best 4-day launch ever in Singapore with $1.7 million.

"Transformers" led in all 10 of its markets, including Australia with $6.7 million, Italy with $3.6 million, Taiwan with $3 million and the Philippines with $2.1 million; in eight of those, it topped "War of the Worlds," which rang up a stellar $357 million overseas in 2005. "Transformers" moves into a dozen more markets next weekend, including Russia, Spain and Scandinavia.

"Live Free or Die Hard," known mostly by the "Die Hard 4" moniker internationally, turned in its top numbers in Germany with $7.6 million at 873 and in Japan with $7.2 million at 735 in the first appearance of the Bruce Willis franchise in a dozen years. Fox Intl. co-topper Paul Hanneman asserted the performance met internal forecasts -- geared to matching the $265 million international cume for 1995's "Die Hard With a Vengeance."

Fox's "Fantastic Four: Rise of the Silver Surfer" also showed enough traction to remain on track to equal the international performance by its predecessor, which took in $175 million two years ago. "Surfer" landed with $15.2 million at 6,200, pushing the cume to $81.2 million, as Mexico kicked in $3.3 million in its second frame and Brazil launched with a beefy $2.9 million; it opens in August in France, Korea and Spain.

Warner's "Ocean's Thirteen" chipped in with $14.5 million at 5,700 in 51 markets to raise its foreign cume to $124 million -- more than halfway to matching the final overseas figure for "Ocean's Twelve" -- as the studio sees respectable performance from counter-programming against fare aimed at the younger demo. "Thirteen" took in its best figures in its second French frame with $2.2 million, its fourth U.K. weekend with $1.9 million and its Mexican launch of $1.8 million.

BVI's "Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End" followed with $14.1 million at 8,779, led by Japan with $3.9 million and France and the U.K. with $1.4 million each -- all with impressive holds, falling less than 28%. It's now sixth highest in foreign grosses at $608.9 million and ninth in worldwide at $904.7 million.

BVI also saw decent numbers from its limited day and date opening of "Ratatouille" with $4.7 million at 520 in half a dozen markets, mostly from Russia with $3.3 million. The Pixar pic moves into Brazil and Mexico next frame and will launch gradually over the rest of the summer and early fall as the distrib tries to take advantage of strong reviews.

Sony's "Spider-Man 3," which fulfilled forecasts as it jump-started summer biz overseas, ensnared $1 million to become the 10th largest international film with $548.9 million and the ninth biggest globally with $883 million.

Other notable pics during the frame included Sony's "Hostel Part II" with $2.2 million, Warner's "Zodiac" with $1.2 million and U's "Evan Almighty" with $900,000.
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